Aprilia vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ACI
2 - 0
APR
32%
25%
42%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 1
ARZ
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GAV
0 - 1
APR
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 0
VIG
36%
25%
38%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
GIU
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 0
FON
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FON
5 - 2
FCC
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
FON
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FON
0 - 2
PRG
22%
25%
54%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |