Aprilia vs Flaminia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UST
4 - 3
APR
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
APR
0 - 0
ULD
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SSC
1 - 0
APR
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
APR
1 - 1
LAT
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RIE
1 - 0
APR
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SFF
2 - 1
FLA
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 0
LRO
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 0
FLA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UST
2 - 3
FLA
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |