Aprilia vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 2
CAM
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
APR
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
APR
1 - 3
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 1
APR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
GIU
38%
28%
35%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
FAN
65%
21%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
ASM
29%
27%
44%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
FAN
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FAN
2 - 1
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |