Aprilia vs Ebolitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 2
APR
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 1
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
APR
0 - 1
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
APR
3 - 2
USV
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 1
MIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
USV
0 - 1
EBO
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 1
FON
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 1
EBO
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
EBO
2 - 0
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |