Aprilia vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
APR
41%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
APR
2 - 1
SOR
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USF
1 - 1
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
APR
0 - 1
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
APR
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ISC
22%
26%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
SAN
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
LAQ
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |