Aprilia vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 1
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
APR
2 - 0
ASM
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
APR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PON
1 - 1
APR
64%
22%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
SAL
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOL
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
VIG
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASD
50%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |