Aprilia vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
APR
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
APR
1 - 3
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 1
APR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
APR
1 - 1
STC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASM
1 - 2
APR
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
GIU
45%
27%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAM
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
MIL
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FON
2 - 2
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |