Aprilia vs Budoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
APR
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
APR
0 - 0
MON
46%
21%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
APR
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
APR
1 - 0
LAN
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
APR
0 - 0
SFF
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Budoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 1
ALB
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
BUD
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 1
ULD
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
BUD
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BUD
5 - 1
LAT
13%
24%
63%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | +3 |