Aprilia vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
5 - 0
APR
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
APR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
APR
1 - 4
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
APR
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 2
OLY
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
3 - 0
PIN
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 0
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ASD
3 - 0
GIU
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RIE
0 - 0
ASD
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |