Aprilia vs Team Nuova Florida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 0
APR
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
ARZ
59%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SSC
0 - 2
APR
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
APR
1 - 1
OST
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SSC
1 - 1
APR
50%
22%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Team Nuova Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 2
TNF
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
GLA
0 - 1
TNF
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TNF
1 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNF
31%
23%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TNF
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |