Aprilia vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
APR
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
APR
2 - 1
GAV
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
APR
41%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -4 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 0
ASM
81%
14%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASM
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TUT
1 - 1
ASM
54%
24%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |