Aprilia vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GAV
0 - 1
APR
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 0
VIG
36%
25%
38%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
APR
1 - 0
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 2
APR
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RAA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARZ
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MIL
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 4
VIG
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 0
ARZ
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |