Aprilia vs Albalonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 6
APR
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
APR
2 - 1
FLA
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UST
4 - 3
APR
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
APR
0 - 0
ULD
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SSC
1 - 0
APR
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
ANZ
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SFF
1 - 1
ALB
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 0
LRO
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 5
ALB
11%
19%
70%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LAT
1 - 1
ALB
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |