CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-3
APR FC vs Young Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 3
APR
39%
30%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
APR
2 - 1
AMA
54%
24%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
APR
4 - 1
MBA
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
APR
2 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
KIY
0 - 2
APR
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
YOU
5 - 0
AFS
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
YOU
43%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
YOU
2 - 0
CER
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
YOU
2 - 0
SIM
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
YOU
8%
18%
74%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |