APR FC vs Marines FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 3
APR
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
APR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
APR
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 4
APR
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
APR
0 - 0
GFC
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 0
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ETI
2 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MUK
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MUS
4 - 0
MAR
39%
28%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |