APR FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 3
APR
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MUH
1 - 3
APR
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
APR
1 - 0
KIY
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -23 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
APR
1 - 0
KIY
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 3
APR
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
GFC
3 - 2
BUG
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
BUG
1 - 3
POL
24%
28%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -5 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUG
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
BUG
3 - 1
POL
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |