APR FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 1
APR
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
APR
1 - 1
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
ASK
1 - 1
APR
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
APR
2 - 0
ESP
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
APR
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ETI
1 - 1
BUG
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
BUG
2 - 0
PEP
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
KIR
1 - 2
BUG
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BUG
1 - 1
MUS
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MUK
2 - 1
BUG
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |