CAF Champions Last 16
Global 0-4
APR FC vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
68.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
APR
2 - 2
POL
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
APR
0 - 0
ASK
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
APR
2 - 1
LIG
13%
22%
65%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | -3 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 4
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +3 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 0
APR
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SET
1 - 1
ALA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ELS
1 - 3
ALA
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
ENP
1 - 0
ALA
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
GEI
1 - 3
ALA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |