Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TUR
0 - 1
APO
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
APO
4 - 1
ELB
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
APO
0 - 0
TOM
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
EGN
2 - 1
APO
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
APO
0 - 1
ORI
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
POG
1 - 0
TUR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ELB
0 - 3
POG
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
POG
1 - 0
LUS
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ELB
1 - 1
POG
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
POG
0 - 3
BYL
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |