Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
APO
0 - 0
BYL
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BES
1 - 0
APO
31%
26%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
POG
0 - 1
APO
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 1
APO
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 1
APO
37%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
POG
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POG
0 - 1
TOM
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
POG
0 - 1
APO
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POG
2 - 1
BES
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
APO
3 - 1
POG
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |