Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
APO
2 - 1
KUK
7%
16%
78%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
APO
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
APO
0 - 2
ELB
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BYL
1 - 0
APO
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
BES
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
POG
5 - 1
TUR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
EGN
2 - 0
POG
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
POG
2 - 1
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
POG
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BES
1 - 1
POG
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |