Apolonia Fier vs Naftëtari Kuçovë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
POG
3 - 1
APO
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
APO
2 - 0
ILI
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 2
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
APO
3 - 1
BYL
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 0
APO
74%
19%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Naftëtari Kuçovë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
NAF
0 - 4
TIR
17%
26%
58%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TOM
3 - 0
NAF
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NAF
1 - 1
TUR
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NAF
1 - 1
SHK
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BYL
3 - 0
NAF
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |