Apolonia Fier vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BES
0 - 0
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
VOR
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 1
APO
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KOR
0 - 0
LUZ
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
TOM
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
LUZ
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 5
LUZ
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 4
ELB
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |