Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
9º
6º
7
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 40 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 37 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 31 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 29 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 29 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 29 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 25 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 24 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 9% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
38.5% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KUK
1 - 2
APO
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
KRU
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
APO
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
48%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VOR
3 - 4
APO
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
POG
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 0
LUS
47%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
ILI
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 2
LUS
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +2 |