Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 0
APO
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
APO
3 - 2
KOR
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
POG
2 - 1
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
APO
2 - 0
TUR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BYL
1 - 0
APO
70%
20%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
VOR
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ERZ
4 - 1
LUS
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
KOR
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
POG
1 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |