Apolonia Fier vs KF Luftëtari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
TER
2 - 0
APO
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
ELB
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
KAM
2 - 1
APO
25%
28%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DIN
0 - 4
APO
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
APO
1 - 0
POG
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
KF Luftëtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
LUF
3 - 0
POG
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
MAM
2 - 1
LUF
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LUF
3 - 2
HIM
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 1
LUF
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LUF
1 - 0
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |