Apolonia Fier vs Kastrioti Krujë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
10º
7º
30
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
APO
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 0
APO
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VOR
3 - 4
APO
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
APO
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
BES
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kastrioti Krujë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POG
3 - 1
KRU
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KRU
4 - 2
KOR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
KRU
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOM
0 - 3
KRU
16%
23%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KRU
3 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |