Apolonia Fier vs KF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SOP
1 - 1
APO
27%
27%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BYL
1 - 0
APO
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
APO
0 - 2
LUS
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ELB
1 - 3
APO
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
APO
1 - 3
DIN
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
KF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ELB
1 - 0
TOM
31%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POG
2 - 1
ELB
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ELB
1 - 3
APO
32%
27%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SOP
2 - 2
ELB
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ELB
1 - 2
BYL
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |