Apolonia Fier vs Burreli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
10º
7º
34
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
APO
3 - 0
KEL
75%
15%
9%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 1
APO
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
APO
1 - 2
BES
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 1
APO
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
4 - 0
SOP
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUS
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
POG
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |