Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Apolonia Fier vs Besëlidhja Lezhë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
APO
31%
29%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
APO
3 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BES
0 - 1
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
APO
5 - 2
TUR
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DIN
4 - 0
BES
52%
28%
20%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BES
2 - 3
TER
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BES
0 - 1
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 2
BES
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
BES
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |