Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
KUK
3 - 1
APO
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
POG
0 - 1
APO
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2020 |
APO
3 - 1
LUS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
APO
1 - 2
KUK
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
APO
28%
29%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 0
BES
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
BES
3 - 2
POG
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DEV
2 - 3
BES
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BES
0 - 2
POG
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BES
2 - 3
APO
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |