Apolonia Fier vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
APO
3 - 0
TUR
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
APO
0 - 1
EGN
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 0
APO
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
APO
0 - 0
TOM
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
POG
1 - 0
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BES
1 - 1
POG
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 2
BES
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BES
1 - 0
LUS
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EGN
0 - 1
BES
52%
27%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BES
1 - 0
ELB
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |