Q. Europa League Final
Global 0-3
Apollon Limassol vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
APO
3 - 0
MYP
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
MYP
1 - 1
APO
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
APO
0 - 1
ENO
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
OMO
2 - 0
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
APO
5 - 1
ALK
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
SDL
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
EEA
0 - 0
EXC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
EXC
4 - 0
KVM
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1997 |
CHA
2 - 1
EXC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 4
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |