Apollon Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
7º
26
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ANO
2 - 0
APO
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 2
APO
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
APO
1 - 2
OMO
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
PAF
1 - 1
APO
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
APO
0 - 0
AEZ
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
OMO
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 3
ETH
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
ETH
4 - 1
AEZ
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
DOX
0 - 2
ETH
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 6
ARI
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |