Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Apollon Limassol vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
APO
2 - 0
OLY
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 1
APO
34%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
APO
1 - 0
ANA
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
ERM
0 - 2
APO
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ANO
2 - 0
APO
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ERM
2 - 2
NEA
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 1
ERM
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
ERM
0 - 2
APO
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ERM
1 - 3
OLY
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
AEK
2 - 0
ERM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |