Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 2-3
Apollon Smyrnis vs NK Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
LEV
1 - 2
APS
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
IRA
3 - 0
APS
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
APS
3 - 0
ETH
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
AEK
1 - 2
APS
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1995 |
APS
2 - 1
PAO
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
GOR
2 - 1
NKO
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1995 |
NKO
1 - 1
RUD
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
NKO
2 - 1
MUR
72%
17%
12%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
DEK
0 - 5
NKO
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1995 |
NKO
1 - 1
BEL
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |