Apollon Smyrnis vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 1
APS
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
PAN
4 - 3
APS
15%
25%
60%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
APS
1 - 0
IRA
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AEK
2 - 1
APS
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 1
APS
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
LAR
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 1
AEK
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 1
APS
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |