Apollon Smyrnis vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
EDE
0 - 0
APS
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
NKO
3 - 1
APS
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
APS
1 - 0
NKO
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
LEV
1 - 2
APS
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
IRA
3 - 0
APS
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
LAR
0 - 1
PAN
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
OLP
4 - 3
LAR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
LAR
0 - 1
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
LEV
1 - 2
LAR
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
LAR
1 - 3
IRA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |