Apollon Smyrnis vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
DOX
0 - 0
APS
48%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
APS
0 - 0
IRA
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
LEV
0 - 0
APS
46%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
APS
1 - 0
OFI
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
APO
1 - 2
APS
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
LAR
1 - 1
LEV
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
OFI
2 - 1
LAR
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
LAR
3 - 1
APO
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
XAN
3 - 0
LAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
LAR
2 - 0
EDE
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |