Apollon Smyrnis vs Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
0 - 2
APS
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
APS
1 - 1
IRA
10%
25%
65%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PIE
0 - 1
APS
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
APS
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
APS
2 - 0
DOX
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AOK
0 - 0
IRA
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ERG
2 - 1
AOK
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
AOK
2 - 0
PAN
68%
19%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
0 - 0
AOK
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NIK
0 - 2
AOK
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |