Apollon Smyrnis vs Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
KAL
1 - 1
APS
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAN
3 - 1
APS
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
APS
0 - 2
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAN
1 - 2
APS
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
APS
0 - 0
XAN
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
AOK
3 - 7
PAN
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PRO
1 - 1
AOK
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
AOK
1 - 2
PAN
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AOK
0 - 0
PAN
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
XAN
1 - 0
AOK
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |