Apollon Smyrnis vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
24.5%
65.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
20.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0%
-1
29.2%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PIE
0 - 1
APS
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
APS
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
APS
2 - 0
DOX
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
APS
0 - 0
IRA
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ERG
1 - 0
APS
77%
17%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
IRA
76%
18%
6%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
IRA
12%
22%
66%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ERG
0 - 1
IRA
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
NIK
1 - 0
IRA
11%
25%
65%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 1
THR
83%
14%
3%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |