Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
HAL
1 - 1
APS
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
APS
3 - 2
KAL
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 0
APS
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
APS
0 - 1
PAN
47%
27%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
APO
0 - 0
APS
54%
26%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ETH
3 - 0
OLY
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
ETH
2 - 0
ERG
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
KAS
0 - 0
ETH
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
HAL
0 - 1
ETH
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ETH
1 - 0
KAL
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |