Apollon Smyrnis vs Doxa Dramas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
APS
0 - 0
IRA
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ERG
1 - 0
APS
77%
17%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
NIK
1 - 1
APS
50%
27%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
APS
1 - 0
THR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LOV
1 - 0
APS
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Doxa Dramas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
DOX
2 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 0
DOX
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
DOX
1 - 1
PAN
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
ERG
1 - 0
DOX
83%
14%
4%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DOX
1 - 2
KAL
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |