Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Apollon Smyrnis vs Chania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
APS
2 - 1
IRA
86%
11%
3%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
APS
1 - 1
PAN
83%
12%
4%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
APS
19%
26%
56%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
APS
1 - 0
KAL
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
APS
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 0
CHA
35%
29%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
TRA
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
KAL
1 - 0
CHA
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
PAN
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
APS
18%
25%
57%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |