Apollon Smyrnis vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OFI
0 - 0
APS
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
APS
5 - 0
APP
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
OLP
1 - 0
APS
86%
11%
3%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
APS
0 - 2
AEK
12%
25%
63%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PAO
2 - 0
APS
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 1
OLP
9%
18%
74%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ARI
2 - 1
AIT
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AEK
4 - 0
ARI
85%
11%
3%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 2
PAO
10%
20%
71%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PAN
1 - 0
ARI
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |