Apollon Smyrnis vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1992 |
OLP
5 - 2
APS
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
APS
3 - 0
EDE
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
IRA
2 - 0
APS
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
APS
0 - 3
AEK
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
PAS
0 - 0
APS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1992 |
ARI
1 - 2
PAO
29%
30%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1992 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAN
32%
31%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
ION
0 - 1
ARI
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ARI
4 - 2
XAN
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARI
43%
29%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |