Apollon Larisas vs Iraklis Larissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
14º
15º
26
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Larisas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
DIA
5 - 0
APL
28%
26%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
APL
0 - 3
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
APL
25%
26%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
APL
0 - 2
LAR
15%
26%
59%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VER
1 - 2
APL
59%
24%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Iraklis Larissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
IRL
0 - 1
NIK
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PTF
3 - 0
IRL
86%
11%
3%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
0 - 1
DIA
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 0
IRL
79%
14%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
0 - 1
APO
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |