Apollon Kalamaria vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KAS
0 - 1
APO
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
APO
1 - 1
OIK
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 3
APO
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
APO
0 - 0
IRA
7%
22%
71%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
NIK
2 - 0
APO
38%
27%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
PGE
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
OLY
1 - 1
KAL
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
KAL
3 - 2
ANA
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
KAL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 3
PAN
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -2 |