Cup 1/16
Global 6-0
Apollon Kalamaria vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
APO
1 - 3
ETH
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AOK
0 - 3
APO
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
APO
2 - 1
ZAK
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
IRA
2 - 0
APO
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
APO
1 - 1
AIG
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 0
GIA
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 2
ARI
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
OLP
1 - 0
ARI
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 2
ERG
66%
23%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PFC
2 - 1
ARI
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |